Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Dwyer 5-28-14 WNBA game Tulsa Shock v. San Antonio Silver Stars #dwyersportsbetting



Warning: Gambling involves great risk. You could lose it all. 5-28-14 game Tulsa Shock v. San Antonio Silver Stars. I like the underdog Tulsa Shock getting 5.5. Tulsa is an offensive juggernaut. They are one of the elite offensive teams in the league. Their record is misleading as they lost by a point to the Minnesota Lynx, who are currently 5-0. By contrast, the Silver Stars are offensively anemic and are below the league average in shooting percentage. While they have a better record than the Shock and beat the Shock by 4 on May 17th, they are not playing good basketball and recently lost by 21 points to the Los Angeles Sparks.

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Saturday, May 24, 2014

Dwyer 5-24-14 Jhonny Gonzalez v. Clive Atwell #dwyersportsbetting


Warning: Gambling involves great risk. You could lose it all. I expect Jhonny Gonzalez to beat unbeaten Clive Atwell by KO. A possible hedge play -- Gonzalez by KO hedged with the under. Atwell has never fought anyone as good as Gonzalez, who is one of the hardest hitting boxer / punchers of our time. Gonzalez has a long history of ending fights by stoppage early and recently dispatched Abner Mares in 1 round. Were it not for Gonzalez's tender chin, he would be on boxing's pound for pound list. I expect fireworks. Atwell looks raw and seems to be depending on a right hand up top. I don't think he has great footwork. If any trainer can devise a strategy to counter Atwell's right hand, it is Nacho Beristain who is in Gonzalez's corner. I'm expecting a stoppage.

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Dwyer 5-24-14 Adonis Stevenson v. Andrzej Fonfara #dwyersportsbetting



Warning: Gambling involves great risk. You could lose it all. I like heavy favorite Adonis Stevenson over Andrzej Fonfara. The odds are likely too long to bet, but I expect Stevenson to make a statement. His left is one of boxing best punches. Since training with Emanuel Steward (RIP), Stevenson -- a puncher -- has learned how to have opponents walk into his left. Fonfara is front foot heavy and will likely do just that. He likes to mix it up. He also is not defensively gifted. And while Stevenson's chin remains an open question post Darnell Boone, I don't believe that Fonfara - who is more of a volume guy - has the one punch power to drill him. I also expect Fonfara to have a problem with Stevenson's lateral movement. Note too that the fight is in Stevenson's backyard -- at the Bell Centre in Montreal.

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Wednesday, May 21, 2014

Dwyer 5-21-13 Game 3 Miami v. Indiana #dwyersportsbetting


Warning: Gambling involves great risk. You could lose it all. In Game 3, I like Miami @ -300 to win. Indy's Paul George is their best player. He plays a key role both offensively and defensively. On a team with personality chemistry problems, he seems to be a guy teammates turn to in key moments. In Game 2, George got hit in the head and admits to having blurred vision thereafter. IMO he won't be himself for Game 3. Blurred vision is serious in hoops. George - whose game fell off badly following the accident - won't be able to slow LeBron or to contribute offensively as he won't have the balance to do so. Add in Chris Bosh's efforts to redeem himself after a bad first two games, with Miami's return home after an excellent fourth quarter in Game 2 and you have the makings of a Miami victory in Game 3. I believe the -300 is too low.

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Friday, May 16, 2014

Dwyer 5-16-14 Series Play -- San Antonio Spurs v. OKC Thunder #dwyersportsbetting


Warning: Gambling involves great risk. You could lose it all. I like San Antonio @ -190 (Series Price) to win its series against OKC. Serge Ibaka is out for the playoffs. Without him, I believe the Thunder stand little chance against a Spur team that has a deep bench, with a perimeter defender -- K. Leonard -- who can slow down Durant and frustrate Russell Westbrook defensively. The line appears to be a casino mispricing given Ibaka's injury, the fact that the Spurs are better rested, have the experience that comes with being the Western Conference's defending champions, have the league's Coach of the Year and have home court advantage.

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Dwyer 5-16-14 Nonito Donaire v. Simpiwe Vetyeka - YouTube

Dwyer 5-16-14 Nonito Donaire v. Simpiwe Vetyeka - YouTube:



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Tuesday, May 13, 2014

Dwyer 5-14-2014 Game 5 - San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trailblazers #dwyersportsbetting


Warning: Gambling involves great risk. You could lose it all. I like San Antonio @ -360 to win Game 5. The Spurs gave away Game 4 by only hitting 3 of 18 threes and by being manhandled on the offensive boards (8 v. 14 for the Blazers). Both should change as the Spurs return home. The quick turnaround (Game 5 is only 48 hours after Game 4, and it is in a different city) should further hurt the Blazers who don't have much of a bench.

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Friday, May 9, 2014

#dwyersportsbetting - Dwyer 5-9-14 Game 3 Heat v. Nets


#dwyersportsbetting - Dwyer 5-9-14 Game 3 Heat v. Nets. Warning: Gambling involves great risk. You could lose it all. I like the under 189. The Heat shot a whopping 41% from 3 point land in Game 2 at home. I don't believe they can continue that level of hot shooting from down town on the road. The game is a must win for Brooklyn, and will be played at a Game 7 level of intensity. Brooklyn is an elite defensive team when it wants to be, and gave up less than 100 points per game in February and March. (I discount April as teams try to slot themselves for the playoffs.) So too are the Heat, who gave up less than 95 per game in February and March. Since Game 1, the teams have adjusted defensively. (For example, Deron Williams was 0-9 shooting in Game 2 and the Heat's overall offensive output dampened.) I expect a low scoring Game 3.
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Wednesday, May 7, 2014

#dwyersportsbetting - Dwyer 5-7-14 BBall - Oklahoma City v. Los Angeles, Game 2


Warning: Gambling involves great risk. You could lose it all. I like OKC @ -235 to win Game 2. When counting 3 pointers and efficiency, the Clippers effectively shot 64% in Game 1. The Clippers hit 15 of 29 threes in the game (more than 50%). They can't maintain that pace. Nor can OKC afford to lose a second game on their home court. The game is a must win game for OKC. In addition, OKC did better than the final score suggests. For example, OKC vastly out-rebounded the Clippers. Both Westbrook and Durant scored at least 25 points.
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Saturday, May 3, 2014

#dwyersportsbetting - Dwyer 5-3-14 IMO Best Way To Play Marcos Maidana


High Risk. Warning: You could lose it all. I believe Mayweather wins the fight. But . . . if you are intent on betting on Marcos Maidana, the best way to play him is to take the under 11.5 rounds @ +190. I don't believe Maidana can win by decision. His only chance is a stoppage. More importantly, I believe Mayweather has an outside shot at getting a stoppage -- as he is much faster and more fluid than Maidana. This prop lets you win if either Maidana or Mayweather gets the stoppage before the midway point of the 12th (last) round and pays you an almost 2 to 1 profit.
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#dwyersportsbetting - Dwyer 5-3-14 Risky Play of the Day - Marco Antonio Periban v. J'Leon Love


Risky Play of the Day - Warning: You could lose it all. I like mild underdog Marco Antonio Periban to win over J'Leon Love. Periban is underrated, has fought the better competition, is higher volume - which could be a problem for Love who holds his hands low - and has more experience at 168. I question Love's power at 168 and expect this fight to go several rounds. Periban is the flashier, more judge friendly fighter. But politically, you are at risk. Love is a Mayweather fighter fighting in Vegas on a Mayweather headlined card. Love also is more known in Vegas and had an extensive amateur background.
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Thursday, May 1, 2014

#dwyersportsbetting - Dwyer 5-2-14 Brooklyn Nets v. Toronto Raptors


I like the Nets (@-220) over the Raptors on Friday night. It is a must win game for the Nets, who went on a run in the 4th quarter of the last game. I expect the momentum to continue as the team returns to Brooklyn. Toronto's Kyle Lowry -- their best player -- is banged up. I expect Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce to rebound from subpar Game 5s.
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Gamblers Advisory Boxing & Sports Blog: Dwyer 5-24-18 Betting Hedge I Like -- NBA

Gamblers Advisory Boxing & Sports Blog: Dwyer 5-24-18 Betting Hedge I Like -- NBA